Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5806
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
PT 5806 · CLT → CHO
departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 10:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 19%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at CHO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHO?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↑
CLT is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CHO
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CHO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.