QK 870 · DCA → YOW

departs 12:50 PM ET · arrives 2:35 PM EDT

Your aircraft is CFKJZ (CRJ9), coming in as QK 869 from YOW: landed 12:10 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YOW?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ DCA is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into YOW at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.71 in

YOW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 870 · DCA → YOW

Odds over time

How late will it get to YOW?