UP 204 · FLL → NAS

took off 3:00 PM ET · landed 3:32 PM EDT (scheduled 1:54 PM ET → 3:01 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to NAS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ FLL is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Arrivals into NAS at that hour are usually not late

↓ NAS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.18 in

NAS (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UP 204 · FLL → NAS

Odds over time

How late did it get to NAS?