Y4 1783 · PBC → LAX

departs 11:18 AM CST · arrives 2:21 PM PT

Your aircraft is XAVRX (A20N), coming in as Y4 505 from EWR: landed 9:50 AM CST.

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts −23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PBC

↓ 11am departures from PBC are usually not late

Weather at each end

PBC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

Y4 1783 · PBC → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?