YX 4632 · DCA → BDL

took off 2:59 PM ET · landed 3:49 PM ET (scheduled 12:49 PM ET → 2:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BDL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling360 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.85 in

BDL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.82 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4632 · DCA → BDL

Odds over time

How late did it get to BDL?