AA 2468 · DFW → OAX

took off 12:00 PM CT · landed 1:25 PM CST (scheduled 10:01 AM CT → 11:50 AM CST)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at OAX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAX

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2468 · DFW → OAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to OAX?