Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2721 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:17 PM MT, ETA 9:09 PM ET)
Today

AA 2721 · PHX → PHL

took off 2:17 PM MT · expected to land 9:09 PM ET (scheduled 1:02 PM MT → 8:45 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
95% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    5%
  2. 15–30 min late
    38%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    57%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.