Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2146 SCHEDULED

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

F9 2146 · LAS → ORD

departs 12:13 AM PT · arrives 5:58 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts +28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling11,429 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2146 · LAS → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?