F9 3862 · SLC → DEN

took off 8:06 AM MT · landed 9:10 AM MT (scheduled 7:47 AM MT → 9:25 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from SLC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling2,633 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.47 in

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3862 · SLC → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?