Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3862
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
F9 3862 · SLC → DEN
departs 7:46 AM MT · arrives 9:26 AM MT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 31%
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 14%
Sun 10/18 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±6 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from SLC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.61 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.