Schedule: FAA flight plans.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5039 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 2:55 PM ET (40 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

OH 5039 · GRR → DCA

departs 2:09 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

80% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ GRR is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5039 · GRR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?