OH 5148 · DCA → MGM

took off 4:35 PM ET · expected to land 5:09 PM CT (scheduled 4:19 PM ET → 5:41 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MGM?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at MGM that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

MGM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5148 · DCA → MGM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MGM?