Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5173 SCHEDULED

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

OH 5173 · IAH → DFW

departs 10:38 AM CT · arrives 11:59 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±1 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5173 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?