Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5173 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

OH 5173 · IAH → DFW

departs 10:37 AM CT · arrives 11:54 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±3 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5173 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?