OO 5131 · AEX → IAH

took off 12:41 PM CT · landed 1:27 PM CT (scheduled 9:40 AM CT → 10:51 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IAH?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from AEX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AEX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

AEX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5131 · AEX → IAH

Odds over time

How late did it get to IAH?