Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5131
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
OO 5131 · AEX → IAH
departs 9:49 AM CT · arrives 11:17 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 17%
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 30%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
9am departures from AEX are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AEX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.