Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5131
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5131 · AEX → IAH
departs 9:48 AM CT · arrives 11:14 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Mon 10/12 20%
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 30%
Sat 10/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
9am departures from AEX are often late
↑
AEX is prone to delays
↓
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AEX that day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AEX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.6 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.