OO 5653 · ORD → FAR

took off 9:41 AM CT · landed 11:05 AM CT (scheduled 8:40 AM CT → 10:39 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to FAR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at FAR that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ FAR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5653 · ORD → FAR

Odds over time

How late did it get to FAR?