Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5653
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 5653 · ORD → FAR
departs 9:20 AM CT · arrives 11:17 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Tue 10/13 24%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sat 10/17 20%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
9am departures from ORD are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.36 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.