Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 783 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

QK 783 · DCA → YYZ

departs 10:53 AM ET · arrives 12:27 PM EDT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±3 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.41 in

YYZ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QK 783 · DCA → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?