tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

MESA · FLIGHT YV 4023 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YV 4023 · IAD → SBN

departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 8:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SBN?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.