Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 4023SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YV 4023 · IAD → SBN
departs 7:03 PM ET · arrives 8:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SBN?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.