YX 4475 · BOS → ROC

departs 9:26 PM ET · arrives 11:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ROC at that hour are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

ROC (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4475 · BOS → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?