YX 5592 · DCA → BOS

departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET

Your aircraft is N231JQ (E75S), coming in as YX 5672 from BOS: landed 12:56 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ 12pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5592 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?