Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
YX 5592 · DCA → BOS
departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 11%
Thu 10/15 12%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 21%
Sun 10/18 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.