YX 5807 · BOS → CLT

departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 10:20 PM ET

Your aircraft is N201JQ (E75S), coming in as YX 5706 from PHL: landed 7:13 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +50 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
57%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

CLT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5807 · BOS → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?