tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 33 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AV 33 · MIA → MDE

departs 6:44 AM ET · arrives 9:05 AM -05
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at MDE more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MDE?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.