Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2454
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 2454 · DCA → BOS
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 20%
Thu 10/15 21%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sun 10/18 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
This flight has been late 19% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.