Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 2954 · DCA → BOS
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 33%
Thu 10/15 40%
Fri 10/16 53%
Sun 10/18 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.