DL 1502 · MSP → BOS

departs 6:10 PM CT · arrives 10:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1502 · MSP → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?