DL 1724 · BOS → ORD

departs 4:25 PM ET · arrives 6:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.05 in

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1724 · BOS → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?