Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1724
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
DL 1724 · BOS → ORD
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 6:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/13 46%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 45%
Fri 10/16 47%
Sun 10/18 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.08 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.