Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5496 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5496 · DCA → MSP

departs 8:32 PM ET · arrives 10:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5496 · DCA → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?