Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5630 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

OH 5630 · ROC → CLT

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 3:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ROC that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.10 in

CLT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5630 · ROC → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?