Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 3930 · DLH → MSP
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:02 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Mon 10/12 7%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16 7%
Sat 10/17 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave DLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DLH that day
↑
DLH is prone to delays
↓
5am departures from DLH are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DLH (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.13 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.