Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
OO 3930 · DLH → MSP
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:02 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Mon 10/12 7%
Tue 10/13 11%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 11%
Fri 10/16 7%
Sat 10/17 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave DLH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DLH is prone to delays
↓
5am departures from DLH are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DLH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 3,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 10,667 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.