WN 4247 · DAL → MCO

departs 2:53 PM CT · arrives 6:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4247 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?