PT 6053 · CLT → PHF

took off 3:03 PM ET · expected to land 3:50 PM ET (scheduled 2:38 PM ET → 4:02 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?

1% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHF?

LIVE

On time or early
99%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at PHF that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Arrivals into PHF at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

PHF (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 6053 · CLT → PHF

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHF?