Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6053
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 18
PT 6053 · CLT → PHF
departs 2:39 PM ET · arrives 4:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/17 33%
Sun 10/18
Mon 10/19 18%
Wed 10/21 15%
Thu 10/22 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±7 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at PHF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHF?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
2pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at PHF that day
↓
Arrivals into PHF at that hour are usually not late
↓
PHF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHF (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.