Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5903
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 18
PT 5903 · CLT → PHF
departs 10:59 PM ET · arrives 12:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sat 10/17 22%
Sun 10/18
Mon 10/19 19%
Tue 10/20 14%
Wed 10/21 16%
Thu 10/22 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PHF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHF?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at PHF that day
↓
Arrivals into PHF at that hour are usually not late
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at CLT that day
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHF (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.