Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 12, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5917
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 19
PT 5917 · PHF → CLT
departs 5:08 AM ET · arrives 6:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 11%
Mon 10/19
Tue 10/20 11%
Wed 10/21 13%
Thu 10/22 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave PHF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at PHF that day
↑
CLT is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from PHF are usually not late
Weather at each end
PHF (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.17 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.