Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 17, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9781 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 9781 · MIA → VQQ

departs 2:43 PM ET · arrives 3:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at VQQ more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to VQQ?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.