Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7395 LANDED 10:25 AM -05, ~8 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

2K 7395 · JFK → GYE

took off 4:56 AM ET · landed 10:25 AM -05 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Arrive at GYE more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GYE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

2K 7395 · JFK → GYE

Odds over time