9E 5229 · DCA → CVG

took off 9:58 AM ET · landed 11:03 AM ET (scheduled 9:47 AM ET → 11:20 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CVG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5229 · DCA → CVG

Odds over time

How late did it get to CVG?