AA 1292 · DEN → MIA

took off 12:39 AM MT · landed 5:59 AM ET (scheduled 12:00 AM MT → 5:49 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 39 kt forecast at MIA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.37 in

MIA (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1292 · DEN → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?