AA 2684 · CLT → STT

took off 9:13 AM ET · landed 12:41 PM AST (scheduled 8:55 AM ET → 12:50 PM AST)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at STT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at STT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ 8am departures from CLT are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

STT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2684 · CLT → STT

Odds over time

How late did it get to STT?