tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 84 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AF 84 · CDG → SFO

departs 10:20 AM CET · arrives 1:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 18h after departure
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.