Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 501SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 501 · SFO → SAN
departs 7:09 AM PT · arrives 8:49 AM PT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±0 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.