tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 228 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AV 228 · BAQ → FLL

departs 4:25 PM -05 · arrives 8:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to FLL?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.