B6 1905 · FLL → TPA

took off 8:04 PM ET · landed 8:41 PM ET (scheduled 7:15 PM ET → 8:28 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TPA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at TPA that day

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts39 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.13 in

TPA (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1905 · FLL → TPA

Odds over time

How late did it get to TPA?